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The twentieth century witnessed a spectacular change in the living standards of most of the world, particularly those in the affluent countries of North America, Western Europe, and East Asia People are asking, Will the twenty-first century repeat the successes of the last century? Will the affluence of the few spread to the many in poor countries? Or will the horsemen of the apocalypse- famine, war, and disease-continue to grip Africa and perhaps even spread more widely? To a large extent, the answers to these questions depend mainly on the economic successes of countries-in education, in investment, in foreign trade, and in health care.

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